Welsh Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2023 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest County vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
New Saints 3 - 1 Haverfordwest
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jordan Davies

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Bala Town 0 - 0 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Michael Wilde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Haverfordwest County 22.63% (+2.42)
Draw 24.14% (+0.63)
Connah's Quay Nomads 53.23% (-3.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% (+1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.64% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 49.35% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 28.59% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 71.4% (-0.19)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5 63.64% (+2.53)
Under 0.5 36.35% (-2.54)
Over 1.5 26.85% (+2.47)
Under 1.5 73.14% (-2.48)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 81.51% (-1.07)
Under 0.5 18.48% (+1.06)
Over 1.5 50.31% (-1.83)
Under 1.5 49.68% (+1.82)

Score analysis

Haverfordwest County 22.63%
Draw 24.13%
Connah's Quay Nomads 53.22%
Haverfordwest County
1-0 @ 6.8% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 5.81% (+0.53)
2-0 @ 3.44% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 1.96% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-94.04)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 22.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (+0.30)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.29)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.13%
Connah's Quay Nomads
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.50)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-0.77)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.24)
0-3 @ 5.39% (-0.64)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.19)
0-4 @ 2.28% (-0.36)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.22%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Harry Franklin 56' goal
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • John Disney 9' yellowcard
  • Callum Morris 30' goal
  • Callum Morris 44' goal
  • Declan Poole 57' goal
  • Mello 59' yellowcard
  • Kris Owens 85' yellowcard
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paulo Mendes 53' goal
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ben Fawcett 88' goal
  • Mason Jones-Thomas 88' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Morris 34'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 21
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • George Horan 45'+1' goal
  • John Disney 52' yellowcard
  • Michael Wilde 59' goal
  • Danny Harrison 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricky Watts 89'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alaric Jones 24' yellowcard
  • Sean Pemberton 33' goal
  • Cameron Keetch 69' yellowcard
  • Ben Fawcett 70' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Curran 10'
  • goal Craig Curran 51'
  • goal Aeron Edwards 53'
  • goal Declan Poole 73'