Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Cardiff MU 0 - 2 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Michael Wilde

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 2 - 5 New Saints
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Nathan Wood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 45.2% (-0.45)
Draw 27.02% (+0.09)
Pen-y-Bont 27.79% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.11% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.36% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 56.64% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 22.39% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 77.61% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 9.74% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 90.25% (+0.08)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 75.02% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 24.98% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 40.37% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 59.62% (+0.40)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 64.13% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 35.86% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 27.36% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 72.64% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 45.19%
Draw 27.01%
Pen-y-Bont 27.79%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 45.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.96% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.01%
Pen-y-Bont
0-1 @ 9.19% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.53% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.23% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.79%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Kane Owen 81' goal
  • goal Ben Nash 65'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • goal Mike Hayes 73'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • George Horan 38' goal
  • Paulo Mendes 74' yellowcard
  • Mike Hayes 75' goal
  • Ryan Harrington 88' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 89' yellowcard
  • Danny Holmes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 81'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Gosset 20' yellowcard
  • Dion Donohue 20' yellowcard
  • Kostya Georgievsky 90' goal
  • Noah Edwards 90'+3' yellowcard
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Shaun MacDonald 21' yellowcard
  • 51' yellowcard
  • Ryan Reynolds 86' yellowcard
  • N. D. Wood 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Darren Thomas 15'
  • goal Mike Hayes 37'
  • goal Mike Hayes 85'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Curran 31' yellowcard
  • Callum Morris 90' yellowcard