Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
0 - 0
Pen-y-Bont

FT
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-5 New Saints
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
45.2% (-0.447 -0.45)27.02% (0.09 0.09)27.79% (0.356 0.36)
Both teams to score 48.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.36% (-0.148 -0.15)56.64% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.39% (-0.119 -0.12)77.61% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.286 -0.29)24.98% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-0.398 -0.4)59.62% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.206 0.21)35.86% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (0.213 0.21)72.64% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 45.19%
    Pen-y-Bont 27.79%
    Draw 27.01%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.79%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (81' pen.)
Evans (55'), Owen (77')
Nash (65')
Wilde (42'), Kenny (55'), Stratulis (72'), Stratulis (73'), Morris (89')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay
Hayes (73')
Nash (10')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Pen-y-Bont
Horan (38'), Hayes (75')
Mendes (74'), Harrington (88'), Franklin (89'), Holmes (90+3')

Wood (81')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Georgievsky (90' og.)
Gosset (20'), Donohue (20'), Edwards (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-3
Connah's Quay

MacDonald (21'), (51'), Reynolds (86'), D. Wood (90+1')
Thomas (15'), Hayes (37', 85')