	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Aberystwyth	0	nan
2	Bala Town	0	nan
3	Barry	0	nan
4	Caernarfon	0	nan
5	Cardiff MU	0	nan
6	Colwyn Bay	0	nan
7	Connah's Quay	0	nan
8	Haverfordwest	0	nan
9	Newtown	0	nan
10	Pen-y-Bont	0	nan
11	Pontypridd	0	nan
12	New Saints	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Swift Hesperange had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swift Hesperange win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Swift Hesperange
56.36% ( 0.98)	21.44% ( 0.08)	22.2% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 60.34% (

-1.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.12% (

-1.65)

37.88% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.86% (

-1.79)

60.14% (

1.79)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64% (

-0.25)

13.36% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.75% (

-0.51)

40.25% (

0.51)

Swift Hesperange Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65% (

-1.81)

30.35% (

1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

-2.21)

66.54% (

2.21)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 56.36%

Swift Hesperange 22.2%

Draw 21.44%

The New Saints	Draw	Swift Hesperange
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.36%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.91% Total : 22.2%