Conference League
Jul 25, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Josh Pask 56' yellowcard
  • Daniel Davies 71' yellowcard
  • Rory Holden 74' goal
  • goal Simao Martins 14'
  • yellowcard Clement Couturier 64'
  • yellowcard Davis Spruds 87'
  • yellowcard Jaime Daniel Melao Simoes 89'

The New Saints vs Swift Hesperange - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

Swift Hesperange

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Swift Hesperange had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swift Hesperange win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

The New Saints 56.36% (+0.98)
Draw 21.44% (+0.08)
Swift Hesperange 22.2% (-1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.34% (-1.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.12% (-1.66)
Under 2.5 37.88% (+1.66)
Over 3.5 39.86% (-1.79)
Under 3.5 60.14% (+1.79)
Over 4.5 22.03% (-1.45)
Under 4.5 77.97% (+1.45)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 86.64% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 13.36% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 59.75% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 40.25% (+0.51)

Swift Hesperange Goals

Over 0.5 69.65% (-1.82)
Under 0.5 30.35% (+1.81)
Over 1.5 33.46% (-2.22)
Under 1.5 66.54% (+2.21)

Score analysis

The New Saints 56.36%
Draw 21.44%
Swift Hesperange 22.2%
The New Saints
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 8.22% (+0.50)
1-0 @ 8.16% (+0.57)
3-1 @ 6.57% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.51% (+0.28)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.20)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.77% (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.73% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.24)
0-0 @ 4.06% (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.44%
Swift Hesperange
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.18)
0-1 @ 4.84% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.22)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 22.2%