Conference League
Aug 1, 2023 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • Dominik Stolz 2' goal
  • Simao Martins 22' yellowcard
  • Clement Couturier 41' yellowcard
  • Rachid Alioui 62' goal
  • Simao Martins 66' goal
  • Geordan Dupire 70' yellowcard
  • Paul Ayongo 82' yellowcard
  • goal Declan McManus 22'
  • yellowcard Daniel Redmond 61'
  • goal Declan McManus 71'

Swift Hesperange vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swift Hesperange

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 7.00pm
New Saints 1 - 1 Swift Hesperange

The New Saints

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 7.00pm
New Saints 1 - 1 Swift Hesperange

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swift Hesperange would win this match.

Result

Swift Hesperange 44.48% (-0.23)
Draw 23.13% (-0.03)
The New Saints 32.4% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.53% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.31% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 37.69% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 40.07% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 59.93% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 22.2% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 77.8% (-0.20)

Swift Hesperange Goals

Over 0.5 82.61% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.39% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 52.19% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.81%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 76.9% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 23.1% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 43.05% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 56.95% (-0.37)

Score analysis

Swift Hesperange 44.48%
Draw 23.12%
The New Saints 32.4%
Swift Hesperange
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 44.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.6% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.88% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.12%
The New Saints
1-2 @ 7.54% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.31% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.68% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.22% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 25, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Josh Pask 56' yellowcard
  • Daniel Davies 71' yellowcard
  • Rory Holden 74' goal
  • goal Simao Martins 14'
  • yellowcard Clement Couturier 64'
  • yellowcard Davis Spruds 87'
  • yellowcard Jaime Daniel Melao Simoes 89'