Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Deeside College Stadium

Jordan Davies 2'
John Disney 18'
Ben Nash 63'
Harry Franklin 66'
Ryan Harrington 88'

George Hughes 15'
Rob Evans 52'
George Hughes 90'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

L
W
L
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
W
L
L
D
W

Last game

Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm

Bala Town 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

70

Top scorer

Jordan Davies

Newtown AFC

All competitions

D
L
L
D
W
L

Welsh Premier League

D
L
L
D
W
L

Last game

Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm

Newtown 0 - 0 Aberystwyth

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 60.65% ▲ (+0.07)

Draw 21.65% ▼ (-0.01)

Newtown AFC 17.7% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

51.98% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.66% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 2.5 45.34% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 3.5 32.32% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 67.68% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 4.5 16.31% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 4.5 83.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 85.51% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 14.49% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 57.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 42.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 60.79% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 0.5 39.21% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 1.5 24.08% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 1.5 75.92% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 60.64%

Draw 21.65%

Newtown AFC 17.7%

Connah's Quay Nomads

1-0 @ 10.97% ▲ (+0.04)

2-0 @ 10.6% ▲ (+0.03)

2-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 6.39%

4-0 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.02)

4-1 @ 3.09%

3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)

5-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)

5-1 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.65%

Total : 60.64%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.27%

0-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.02)

2-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 1.05%

Total : 21.65%

Newtown AFC

0-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.13%

Total : 17.7%

Head to Head

Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Callum Morris 50'
Jack Kenny 70'

Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Louis Robles 6'

Michael Wilde 90'

Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Callum Morris 27'
Michael Wilde 43'
Mike Hayes 65'

Aaron Williams 82'

Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Zeli Ismail 29'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 38'

Dion Donohue 38'

Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm

0

4

HT : 0 1

FT Deeside College Stadium

Noah Edwards 23'
Danny Gosset 72'

Lifumpa Mwandwe 9'
Nick Rushton 34'
Craig Williams 48'
Craig Williams 51'
Jamie Breese 90'+4'

Form Data

Bala Town 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 4 - 0 Aberystwyth

New Saints 6 - 2 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 0 - 2 KA

KA 2 - 0 Connah's Quay

New Saints 4 - 1 Connah's Quay

Newtown 0 - 0 Aberystwyth

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Newtown

Newtown 1 - 3 Pen-y-Bont

Newtown 1 - 1 Haverfordwest

Bala Town 2 - 4 Newtown

Pen-y-Bont 2 - 1 Newtown