Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm

4

0

HT : 4 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Josh Williams 23'
Callum Bratley 29'
Jordan Davies 38'
Josh Williams 45'+1'
Callum Bratley 61'
Callum Bratley 69'
Harry Franklin 90'+4'

Eric Yahaya 45'+3'
Alex Darlington 76'
Beau Cornish 90'+3'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Aberystwyth Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

L
L
L
L
D
W

Welsh Premier League

L
L
D
W
W
W

Last game

Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm

New Saints 6 - 2 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

70

Top scorer

Jordan Davies

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

L
W
D
D
D
W

Welsh Premier League

L
W
D
D
D
W

Last game

Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm

Aberystwyth 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Goals scored

27

Top scorer

Iwan Lewis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 56.37% ▼ (-0.48)

Draw 23.71% ▲ (+0.21)

Aberystwyth Town 19.91% ▲ (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score:

49.42% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.27% ▼ (-0.48)

Under 2.5 50.72% ▲ (+0.48)

Over 3.5 27.37% ▼ (-0.42)

Under 3.5 72.62% ▲ (+0.42)

Over 4.5 12.9% ▼ (-0.28)

Under 4.5 87.1% ▲ (+0.28)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 82.18% ▼ (-0.35)

Under 0.5 17.81% ▲ (+0.35)

Over 1.5 51.45% ▼ (-0.60)

Under 1.5 48.55% ▲ (+0.60)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 60.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 39.87% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 23.47% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 76.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 56.36%

Draw 23.7%

Aberystwyth Town 19.91%

Connah's Quay Nomads

1-0 @ 12.25% ▲ (+0.10)

2-0 @ 10.56% ▼ (-0.04)

2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.09)

3-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.08)

4-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.07)

3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.04)

4-1 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.07)

4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 3.46%

Total : 56.36%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.26% ▲ (+0.09)

0-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.14)

2-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.87%

Total : 23.7%

Aberystwyth Town

0-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.13)

1-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.05)

0-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.06)

1-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.24%

Total : 19.91%

Head to Head

Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Harry Franklin 7'
Michael Wilde 90'
Michael Wilde 90'+4'

Sep 16, 2022 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Arnison 54'
Jack Thorn 82'

Sam Litchfield 67' (OG)

Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Jack Thorn 61'
Cameron Allen 76'

Craig Curran 39'
Neal Eardley 90'+2'

Dec 3, 2021 8.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

John Owen 45'
Jamie Veale 52'
Harry Franklin 57'
Jack Rimmer 87'

Paulo Mendes 31'
Paulo Mendes 52'
Oliver Byrne 81'
George Horan 87'
Declan Poole 90'

Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Craig Curran 30'

Jack Thorn 39'
Harry Franklin 55'
Jack Rimmer 85'

Dec 4, 2020 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 0 1

FT

Steven Hewitt 54'
Owain Jones 60'
Jonathan Evans 90'

Daniel Davies 22'
Callum Roberts 26'
Craig Curran 51'
Callum Morris 53'
Michael Wilde 81'
Michael Wilde 83'
Aeron Edwards 90'

Form Data

New Saints 6 - 2 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 0 - 2 KA

KA 2 - 0 Connah's Quay

New Saints 4 - 1 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 0 - 0 Pen-y-Bont

Cardiff MU 0 - 2 Connah's Quay

Aberystwyth 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Aberystwyth 3 - 2 Caernarfon

Haverfordwest 1 - 1 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 1 - 1 Airbus UK

Pontypridd 1 - 1 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 1 - 0 Flint Town