Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.