Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.