Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Keyon Reffell 62' goal
  • Josh Yorwerth 84' goal
  • goal Zeli Ismail 16'

Pen-y-Bont vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Connah's Quay 0 - 0 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Nathan Wood

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown 1 - 2 Cardiff MU
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 41.01% (+0.07)
Draw 23.98% (+0.02)
Newtown AFC 35.01% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.23% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.94% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 41.05% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 36.55% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 63.45% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 19.44% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 80.56% (+0.05)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 79.76% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.24% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 47.42% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.58% (-0.02)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 76.76% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 23.23% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 42.85% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.14% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 41.01%
Draw 23.98%
Newtown AFC 35.01%
Pen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 8.76% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.51% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 41.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.98%
Newtown AFC
1-2 @ 8% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.01%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park
  • goal Kane Owen 59'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Kostya Georgievsky 17' goal
  • Ryan Reynolds 41' goal
  • Nathan Wood 44' goal
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park
  • Aaron Williams 58' goal
  • Aaron Williams 66' goal
  • goal Kai Whitmore 33'
  • goal N. D. Wood 45'+3'
  • goal Sam Snaith 64'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Lewis Harling 29' yellowcard
  • Billy Borge 40' yellowcard
  • Kai Whitmore 59' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 63' yellowcard
  • Sam Snaith 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brett Taylor 23'
  • yellowcard Naim Arsan 29'
  • goal Craig Williams 41'
  • goal Lifumpa Mwandwe 61'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lifumpa Mwandwe 3' goal
  • Callum Roberts 56' yellowcard
  • Zeli Ismail 82' yellowcard
  • Jake Walker 89' yellowcard
  • Lifumpa Mwandwe 90' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun MacDonald 15'
  • yellowcard Mael Davies 30'
  • goal Sam Snaith 54'
  • yellowcard 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Aaron Williams 17' goal
  • Nick Rushton 39' goal
  • Callum Roberts 41' yellowcard
  • Lifumpa Mwandwe 45' yellowcard
  • Nick Rushton 58' yellowcard
  • Nick Rushton 74' goal
  • 79' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard N. D. Wood 38'
  • yellowcard Lewis Harling 41'
  • yellowcard Mael Davies 43'
  • goal Keane Watts 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jefferies 73'