Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Kai Whitmore 26'
Rhys Abbruzzese 90'+6'

Marc Richard Williams 18'
Danny Gosset 27'
Ryan Austin 38'
Louis Lloyd 77'
Ben Wynne 90'+5'

Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

L
D
D
L
W
L

Welsh Premier League

L
D
D
D
W
D

Last game

Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm

Pen-y-Bont 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

Goals scored

39

Top scorer

Martell Taylor-Crossdale

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
W
L
W
L
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
L
W
L
W

Last game

Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Newtown

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Haverfordwest County 49.2% ▼ (-0.27)

Draw 23.92% ▲ (+0.03)

Caernarfon Town 26.88% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score:

57.07% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.38% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 2.5 44.62% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 3.5 33.01% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 3.5 66.99% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 4.5 16.8% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 4.5 83.2% ▼ (-0.04)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5 81.76% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 0.5 18.24% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 1.5 50.73% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 1.5 49.27% ▲ (+0.15)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.79% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 0.5 30.21% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 1.5 33.63% ▲ (+0.26)

Under 1.5 66.37% ▼ (-0.26)

Score analysis

Haverfordwest County 49.2%

Draw 23.92%

Caernarfon Town 26.88%

Haverfordwest County

2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.02)

1-0 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.07)

3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.05)

3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.02)

4-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)

4-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.51%

Total : 49.2%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.22% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.03)

0-0 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.02)

3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.18%

Total : 23.92%

Caernarfon Town

1-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.05)

0-1 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.04)

1-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.04)

2-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)

0-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 3.09%

Total : 26.88%

Head to Head

Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Jack Wilson 10'
Kyle Patten 71'

Gruff John Williams 12'
Jordan Davies 74' (OG)

Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Fidel O'Rourke 5'
Joe Faux 70'

Jack Wilson 57'

Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Jordan Davies 80'

Ben Wynne 52'

Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Corey Shepherd 5'
Dan Williams 33'
Dylan Rees 90'+3'

John Disney 12'
Danny Holmes 32'
George Horan 42'
Kris Owens 83'

Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Dylan Rees 42'
Kyle Patten 63'
Mason Jones-Thomas 68'

Noah Edwards 30'
Danny Gosset 35'
Steve Evans 45'
Cai Jones 61'
Noah Edwards 64'
Jakub Ojrzynski 85'

Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Rob Hughes 32'
Aaron Simpson 42'
Darren Thomas 66'
Danny Gosset 74'
Charles Jones 90'+4'

Corey Shepherd 59'
Henry Jones 72'
Dan Summerfield 90'+4'

Form Data

Pen-y-Bont 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

Haverfordwest 0 - 0 Pontypridd

Haverfordwest 1 - 1 B36 Torshavn

B36 Torshavn 2 - 1 Haverfordwest

Haverfordwest 1 - 0 Shkendija

Shkendija 1 - 0 Haverfordwest

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Newtown

Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon

Aberystwyth 3 - 2 Caernarfon

Flint Town 2 - 3 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Pontypridd

Caernarfon 4 - 0 Airbus UK