Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 0
Shkendija

Jenkins (89')
Fawcett (45'), Whitmore (58'), Owen (63'), Hawkins (79')
FT
(aet)

Cinari (60'), Krasniqi (70')
Haverfordwest win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Haverfordwest County and Shkendija.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shkendija 1-0 Haverfordwest
Thursday, July 13 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Aberystwyth0nan
2Bala Town0nan
3Barry0nan
4Caernarfon0nan
5Cardiff MU0nan
6Colwyn Bay0nan
7Connah's Quay0nan
8Haverfordwest0nan
9Newtown0nan
10Pen-y-Bont0nan
11Pontypridd0nan
12New Saints0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%).

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawShkendija
38.39% (-0.151 -0.15)25.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)36.42% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)46.56% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.111 -0.11)68.83% (0.11 0.11)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)23.93% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.84% (-0.189 -0.19)58.15% (0.188 0.19)
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)59.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 38.39%
    Shkendija 36.42%
    Draw 25.19%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawShkendija
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 38.39%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.29% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.42%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 7pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Shkendija
1-0
Haverfordwest
Shala (47')
Redzhepi (18'), Qaka (41'), Adili (90+2')