Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Zack Clarke 75'

Nathan Peate 41'
Naim Arsan 56'
Kyle Harrison 68'
Oliver Shannon 69'

Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

D
W
W
L
W
L

Welsh Premier League

D
W
W
L
W
L

Last game

Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm

Haverfordwest 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Bala Town

All competitions

W
D
W
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

W
D
W
L
L
L

Last game

Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm

Bala Town 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

George Newell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 34.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 24.48% ▲ (+0.01)

Bala Town 40.92% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

59.29% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.46% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 2.5 43.54% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 3.5 34.06% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 65.93% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 4.5 17.57% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 82.43% ▲ (+0.03)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 24.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 40.86% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 59.13% ▲ (+0.03)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 21.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 45.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 54.3% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 34.59%

Draw 24.48%

Bala Town 40.92%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.01)

1-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.41%

4-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.77%

Total : 34.59%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.37%

2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.22%

Total : 24.48%

Bala Town

1-2 @ 8.78%

0-1 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)

0-4 @ 1.25%

2-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.62%

Total : 40.92%

Head to Head

Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Maes Tegid

George Newell 16'
Adam Roscrow 40'
Chris Venables 89'

Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm

1

5

HT : 1 2

FT The Oval

Darren Thomas 5'

Antony Kay 10'
Lassana Nalatche Mendes 34'
Luke Wall 51'
Oliver Shannon 65'
James Davies 90'+2'

Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Dion Donohue 55'
Aaron Simpson 80'

Will Evans 55'
Dean Ebbe 75'

Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm

3

3

HT : 0 2

FT

Dion Donohue 37'
J. Faux 49'
Sion Bradley 71'
Cai Jones 84'

Dean Ebbe 14'
Dean Ebbe 44'
Will Evans 86'
Sean Smith 90'
Will Evans 90'+3'

Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Dean Ebbe 36'
Oliver Shannon 71'
Kieran Smith 75'
Oliver Shannon 90'+5'

Rob Hughes 29'
Josh Bailey 55'
Josh Bailey 56'
Darren Thomas 62'
Cai Jones 82'

May 4, 2021 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

M. Cleworth 11'
M. Cleworth 45'
Sion Bradley 54'

Anthony Stephens 52'
Sean Smith 69'
Kieran Smith 79'

Form Data

Haverfordwest 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Newtown

Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon

Aberystwyth 3 - 2 Caernarfon

Flint Town 2 - 3 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Pontypridd

Bala Town 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Cardiff MU 0 - 0 Bala Town

Bala Town 1 - 0 Barry

Bala Town 2 - 4 Newtown

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Bala Town

Bala Town 0 - 2 New Saints