Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.