Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 29, 2023 at 8pm UK

Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Pontypridd

Thorn (43'), Hogan (82'), Davies (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Davies (61')
Davies (45+3'), Rees (65'), Rees (65'), Margetson (75')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, August 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Pontypridd 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
31.97% ( 0.34)	25.31% ( -0.05)	42.71% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.99% (

0.36)

48.01% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.82% (

0.33)

70.18% (

-0.33)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

0.4)

28.37% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89% (

0.5)

64.11% (

-0.5)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

0.02)

22.41% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07% (

0.03)

55.93% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 31.97%

Pontypridd Town AFC 42.71%

Draw 25.31%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.97%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.71%