Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 2-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	The New Saints
20.75% ( 0.01)	21.58% ( 0.15)	57.66% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.52% (

-0.68)

40.47% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14% (

-0.7)

62.85% (

0.7)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85% (

-0.38)

33.14% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25% (

-0.42)

69.74% (

0.41)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.18% (

-0.28)

13.82% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.83% (

-0.54)

41.16% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Pontypridd Town AFC 20.75%

The New Saints 57.66%

Draw 21.58%

Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	The New Saints
2-1 @ 5.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 20.75%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.58%	1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 57.66%