Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.