Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
33.85% ( -0.06)	28.89% ( -0)	37.26% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 45.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.48% (

61.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.62% (

81.38% (

-0)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04% (

-0.04)

33.96% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.36% (

-0.04)

70.63% (

0.04)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.27% (

0.04)

31.72% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.85% (

0.04)

68.14% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Bala Town 33.85%

Pen-y-Bont 37.25%

Draw 28.88%

Bala Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.85%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.88%	0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.25%