Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Brewery Field

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 1
Santa Coloma

Venables (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mourelo (36')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Pen-y-Bont and FC Santa Coloma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, July 1 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

FC Santa Coloma

Last Game: Santa Coloma 1-2 Hibernian
Thursday, July 29 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Aberystwyth0nan
2Bala Town0nan
3Barry0nan
4Caernarfon0nan
5Cardiff MU0nan
6Colwyn Bay0nan
7Connah's Quay0nan
8Haverfordwest0nan
9Newtown0nan
10Pen-y-Bont0nan
11Pontypridd0nan
12New Saints0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Santa Coloma win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Santa Coloma win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawFC Santa Coloma
35.7% (0.687 0.69)25.32% (0.188 0.19)38.98% (-0.874 -0.87)
Both teams to score 56.51% (-0.559 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.767 -0.77)47.23% (0.769 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.715 -0.72)69.46% (0.718 0.72)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04)25.72% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (0.048999999999999 0.05)60.64% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
FC Santa Coloma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (-0.788 -0.79)23.93% (0.79 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (-1.143 -1.14)58.14% (1.144 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 35.7%
    FC Santa Coloma 38.98%
    Draw 25.32%
Pen-y-BontDrawFC Santa Coloma
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.273 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.7%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.195 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.98%