Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8

Sep 23, 2023 at 5.15pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 0
Pontypridd

Mooney (84')
Cartwright (45+2'), Bradley (86'), Davies (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shepherd (25'), Margetson (69'), Leo Martins (75')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Pontypridd 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
24.39% ( -1)	24.15% ( -0.22)	51.46% ( 1.22)

Both teams to score 53.86% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27% (

0.05)

47.73% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08% (

0.04)

69.92% (

-0.04)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.12% (

-0.82)

33.88% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.45% (

-0.9)

70.55% (

0.89)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45% (

0.5)

18.54% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.21% (

0.83)

49.79% (

-0.83)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 24.39%

Pontypridd Town AFC 51.45%

Draw 24.15%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.39%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 51.45%