Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.