Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
1 - 0
Colwyn Bay

Jones (23')
Rees (45+3'), Price (63'), Owen (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Apan (4'), Owens (50'), Downes (67')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, August 19 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawColwyn Bay
19.12% (-0.159 -0.16)22.38% (-0.125 -0.13)58.5% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66% (0.307 0.31)46.34% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (0.289 0.29)68.63% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)38.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.96% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.2 0.2)15.52% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.56% (0.372 0.37)44.43% (-0.372 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 19.12%
    Colwyn Bay 58.48%
    Draw 22.38%
Cardiff MUDrawColwyn Bay
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 5.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 19.12%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 11.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.39% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.15% (0.048 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.98% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.86% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 58.48%