Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT Llanelian Road
  • Alex Downes 41' goal
  • Udoyen Akpan 46' yellowcard
  • Alex Downes 67' goal
  • goal Louis Robles 2'
  • goal Louis Robles 11'
  • yellowcard George Hughes 14'
  • goal Zeli Ismail 17'
  • yellowcard Zeli Ismail 22'
  • yellowcard Jason Oswell 81'
  • goal Jason Oswell 86'

Colwyn Bay vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Colwyn Bay 3 - 1 Aberystwyth
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Udoyen Akpan

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Newtown 2 - 0 Barry
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Colwyn Bay 46.59% (-0.13)
Draw 23.11% (+0.04)
Newtown AFC 30.29% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.45% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.36% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 38.63% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 39.06% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 60.94% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 21.39% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 78.61% (+0.10)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5 83.06% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 16.94% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 52.98% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 47.02% (+0.17)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 75.18% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.81% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.4% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Colwyn Bay 46.59%
Draw 23.11%
Newtown AFC 30.3%
Colwyn Bay
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.46% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 46.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.11%
Newtown AFC
1-2 @ 7.25% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.86% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.08% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.37% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.3%