Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.