Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.