Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.