Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Dion Donohue 15'
Louis Lloyd 53'
Marc Williams 58'
Marc Williams 90'+4'

Dan Roberts 65'
Jordan Davies 90'+6'

Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

D
W
L
D
D
D

Welsh Premier League

D
W
L
D
D
D

Last game

Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm

Bala Town 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

L
L
W
W
D
W

Welsh Premier League

L
L
W
W
D
W

Last game

Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm

Connah's Quay 1 - 5 New Saints

Goals scored

70

Top scorer

Jordan Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 15.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Draw 18.5% ▼ (-0.03)

Connah's Quay Nomads 66.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

57.59% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.63% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 2.5 35.37% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 3.5 42.6% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 3.5 57.39% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 4.5 24.27% ▲ (+0.14)

Under 4.5 75.73% ▼ (-0.14)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.94% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 0.5 36.05% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 1.5 27.17% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 1.5 72.83% ▼ (-0.11)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 90.05% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 9.94% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 1.5 67.11% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 1.5 32.89% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 15.28%

Draw 18.5%

Connah's Quay Nomads 66.21%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 4.31%

1-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.3%

Total : 15.28%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)

3-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.21%

Total : 18.5%

Connah's Quay Nomads

1-2 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.04)

0-1 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.05)

1-3 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.02)

0-4 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)

2-4 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.02)

1-5 @ 2% ▲ (+0.02)

0-5 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)

2-5 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 4.23%

Total : 66.21%

Head to Head

Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Deeside College Stadium

Michael Wilde 59'
Callum Bratley 70'
Ryan Harrington 75'
Callum Morris 90'+4'

Adam Davies 22'
Marc Williams 89'

Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm

6

1

HT : 5 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Harry Franklin 2'
Harry Franklin 6'
Harry Franklin 11'
Jack Kenny 20'
Harry Franklin 45'+2'
Jack Kenny 45'+8'
Josh Williams 73'

Marc Williams 14'
Ben Maher 54'
Louis Lloyd 79'
Louis Lloyd 90'

Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm

0

4

HT : 0 1

FT The Oval

Darren Thomas 37'
Ryan Austin 61'
Dion Donohue 71'
Danny Gosset 75'

Declan Poole 10'
Jack Kenny 55'
Jordan Davies 70'
Noah Edwards 77'

Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm

3

3

HT : 0 1

FT Deeside College Stadium

Ben Nash 69'
Joe Malkin 74'
Joe Malkin 90'+4'

Fidel O'Rourke 10'
Joe Faux 50'
Lloyd Marsh-Hughes 65'

Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Ryan Stratulis 70'
Aeron Edwards 90'+1'

Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Rob Hughes 23'
Dion Donohue 53'
Aaron Simpson 79'
Rob Hughes 90'+2'

Ryan Harrington 64'
Neal Eardley 68'

Form Data

Bala Town 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Newtown

Caernarfon 1 - 8 New Saints

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Cardiff MU 2 - 2 Caernarfon

Connah's Quay 1 - 5 New Saints

Bala Town 1 - 0 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 2 - 1 Cardiff MU

Newtown 2 - 3 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 1 Connah's Quay