Welsh Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Shaun MacDonald 7' yellowcard
  • Eliot Richards 54' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harling 70' yellowcard
  • Mael Davies 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Edwards 12'
  • yellowcard Harry Franklin 56'
  • goal Michael Wilde 87'
  • yellowcard Declan Poole 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ryan Stratulis 90'+4'
  • redcard Declan Poole 90'+5'

Pen-y-Bont vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 1 - 0 Pontypridd
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Chris Venables

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm
Connah's Quay 0 - 4 New Saints
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Jordan Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 21.57% (-0.06)
Draw 22.69% (-0.04)
Connah's Quay Nomads 55.73% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.11% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.61% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 44.38% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 33.24% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 66.76% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 16.97% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.03% (-0.07)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 65.43% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.57% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.71% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.29% (+0.01)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 84.23% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 15.77% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 55.1% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 44.9% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 21.57%
Draw 22.68%
Connah's Quay Nomads 55.73%
Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.68% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86%
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 21.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.68%
Connah's Quay Nomads
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.88% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.08% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.73%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 5.15pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Jordan Davies 11' goal
  • Jordan Davies 11' goal
  • Jack Kenny 24' goal
  • Jordan Davies 36' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 58' goal
  • Jack Kenny 65' yellowcard
  • Ryan Harrington 90' goal
  • John Disney 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Little 22'
  • yellowcard Ashley Evans 65'
  • yellowcard Gabe Kircough 68'
  • goal Chris Venables 70'
  • goal Daniel Jefferies 81'
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Kane Owen 81' goal
  • goal Ben Nash 65'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • goal Mike Hayes 73'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • George Horan 38' goal
  • Paulo Mendes 74' yellowcard
  • Mike Hayes 75' goal
  • Ryan Harrington 88' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 89' yellowcard
  • Danny Holmes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 81'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Gosset 20' yellowcard
  • Dion Donohue 20' yellowcard
  • Kostya Georgievsky 90' goal
  • Noah Edwards 90'+3' yellowcard