Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm

0

4

HT : 0 3

FT Deeside College Stadium

John Disney 88'

Josh Pask 7'
Ryan Brobbel 22'
Brad Young 28'
Brad Young 56'
Chris Marriott 88'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

W
W
W
W
L
L

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
L
L

Last game

Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm

Newtown 1 - 2 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

70

Top scorer

Jordan Davies

The New Saints

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm

New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Goals scored

117

Top scorer

Brad Young

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 30.15% ▲ (+0.36)

Draw 23.67% ▼ (-0.06)

The New Saints 46.18% ▼ (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score:

60.35% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.64% ▲ (+0.43)

Under 2.5 41.36% ▼ (-0.43)

Over 3.5 36.24% ▲ (+0.43)

Under 3.5 63.75% ▼ (-0.44)

Over 4.5 19.2% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 4.5 80.79% ▼ (-0.33)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 73.74% ▲ (+0.45)

Under 0.5 26.26% ▼ (-0.45)

Over 1.5 38.63% ▲ (+0.60)

Under 1.5 61.37% ▼ (-0.60)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 81.84% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 18.16% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 1.5 50.86% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 49.14% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 30.15%

Draw 23.66%

The New Saints 46.18%

Connah's Quay Nomads

2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.06)

1-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.07)

3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.06)

3-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.04)

4-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 3.25%

Total : 30.15%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.87% ▼ (-0.07)

2-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.06)

0-0 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.10)

3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 0.25%

Total : 23.66%

The New Saints

1-2 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.04)

0-1 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.15)

0-2 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.12)

1-3 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.06)

2-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.04)

1-4 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)

0-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.03)

2-4 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.64%

Total : 46.18%

Head to Head

Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm

6

2

HT : 3 2

FT Park Hall Stadium

Adrian Cieslewicz 13'
Daniel Williams 33'
Adrian Cieslewicz 37'
Declan McManus 45'+3'
Declan McManus 53'
Jordan Williams 55'
Daniel Davies 83'
Leo Smith 86'
Leo Smith 89'

Noah Edwards 2'
Jordan Davies 35'
Noah Edwards 79'
John Disney 83'

Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm

4

1

HT : 1 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Joshua Daniels 34'
Declan McManus 58'
Joshua Daniels 70'
Declan McManus 88'

Ryan Harrington 90'+1'

Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

George Horan 50'

Gwion Dafydd 90'+5'

Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Declan McManus 42'
Daniel Davies 78'
Jon Routledge 80'
Ben Clark 86'

Ryan Stratulis 21'
Michael Wilde 39'
George Horan 81'

Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Sion Bradley 44'

Louis Robles 56'
Ryan Astles 70'
Louis Robles 72'
Keston Davies 77'

Form Data

Newtown 1 - 2 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 3 - 1 Pontypridd

Connah's Quay 7 - 0 Barry

Colwyn Bay 2 - 3 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 1 - 2 Haverfordwest

Cardiff MU 3 - 1 Connah's Quay

New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Haverfordwest 0 - 1 New Saints

New Saints 3 - 0 Pen-y-Bont

Aberystwyth 1 - 3 New Saints

New Saints 4 - 1 Arbroath

Newtown 0 - 2 New Saints