Scottish Challenge Cup
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Ben Clark
29'
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Brad Young
37'
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Jordan Williams
45'
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Adrian Cieslewicz
80'
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Brad Young
85'
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Jay Bird
9'
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Darren Lyon
20'
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David Gold
77'
The New Saints vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result
The New Saints
80.73%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
12.38%
▲
(+0.16)
Arbroath
6.89%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
49.53%
▼
(-1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.94%
▼
(-1.32)
Under 2.5
30.06%
▲
(+1.32)
Over 3.5
48.73%
▼
(-1.60)
Under 3.5
51.27%
▲
(+1.60)
Over 4.5
29.58%
▼
(-1.46)
Under 4.5
70.42%
▲
(+1.46)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5
94.31%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
5.69%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
78.01%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 1.5
21.99%
▲
(+0.78)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5
52.51%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 0.5
47.49%
▲
(+1.29)
Over 1.5
17.15%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 1.5
82.85%
▲
(+0.98)
Score analysis
The New Saints
80.72%
Draw
12.38%
Arbroath
6.89%
The New Saints
2-0
@
11.09%
▲
(+0.46)
3-0 @ 10.6% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.45)
4-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.16)
5-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.14)
6-0 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.06)
6-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 80.72%
3-0 @ 10.6% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.45)
4-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.16)
5-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.14)
6-0 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.06)
6-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 80.72%
Draw
1-1
@
5.77%
▲
(+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 12.38%
2-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 12.38%
Arbroath
1-2
@
2.15%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 6.89%
0-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 6.89%