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Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Inverness CT

Arbroath
2 - 3
Inverness

Stewart (69'), McKenna (79')
Slater (47')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Longstaff (10'), Doran (31'), Mckay (48')
Gilmour (88')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partick 0-3 Arbroath
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
45.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)25.11% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)29.75% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.16% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)48.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)70.23% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)21.31% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)54.25% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)65.99% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 45.14%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.75%
    Draw 25.11%
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.14%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.75%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Third Round
Arbroath
4-2
Inverness
Gold (34'), O'Brien (41'), Stewart (70'), Steele (84')
O'Brien (75')
Brooks (43'), Hyde (90+3')
Boyes (84')
Lodovica (63')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Inverness
2-0
Arbroath
Shaw (53'), Allardice (78' pen.)
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Arbroath
1-4
Inverness
Mckay (9'), Henderson (45'), MacKay (65'), Nicolson (86')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Inverness
1-1
Arbroath
Shaw (52')
Shanks (60')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Arbroath
0-0
Inverness
Fosu (50')
Oakley (29'), Carson (90+3')