Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
4 - 0
Airdrieonians

McKenna (27'), Hylton (35'), Bird (88'), McIntosh (90+1')
Little (32')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McCabe (45'), McStravick (51')
McStravick (55')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Arbroath 4-2 Inverness
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Stirling University 2-3 Airdrieonians
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Airdrieonians
40.57% ( -0.1)	25.86% ( -0.04)	33.58% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 54.3% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.09% (

0.19)

49.91% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1% (

0.17)

71.9% (

-0.17)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

0.03)

24.3% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32% (

0.05)

58.68% (

-0.05)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

0.18)

28.27% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

0.22)

63.99% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 40.57%

Airdrieonians 33.58%

Draw 25.85%

Arbroath	Draw	Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.57%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.58%