Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
| 38.07% ( | 27.17% ( | 34.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.85% ( | 55.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( | 76.39% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( | 28.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% ( | 63.75% ( |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( | 30.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.75% ( | 66.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.75% |