Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38

May 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
3 - 2
Dundee Utd

van Veen (5'), Spittal (69'), Johnston (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McGrath (31' pen.), Fletcher (49')

The Match

Match Report

Dundee United are relegated from the Scottish Premiership courtesy of a 3-2 defeat to Motherwell, failing to overturn an unlikely route to safety.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundee United

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-3 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Dundee United
50.92% ( -0.82)	24.57% ( 0.22)	24.51% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 52.68% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

-0.34)

49.34% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

-0.31)

71.39% (

0.31)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.62% (

-0.46)

19.38% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.82% (

-0.76)

51.18% (

0.76)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35% (

0.35)

34.65% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.62% (

0.37)

71.37% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 50.91%

Dundee United 24.51%

Draw 24.56%

Motherwell	Draw	Dundee United
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.91%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.12% Total : 24.51%