Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.