Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.