Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
| 41.35% ( | 26.56% ( | 32.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% ( | 53.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.23% ( | 74.77% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( | 25.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( | 60.19% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( | 30.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.83% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.09% |