Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.