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Mikael Mandron
10'
-
Mark O'Hara
45'
-
Caolan Boyd-Munce
50'
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Stav Nachmani
71'
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Stav Nachmani
79'
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Mark O'Hara
83'
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Joao Balde
48'
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Michael McKenna
67'
St Mirren vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result
St Mirren
38.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
26.49%
▼
(-0.04)
Arbroath
34.94%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
52.46%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.63%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
52.37%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
25.94%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
74.06%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
11.96%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
88.04%
▼
(-0.07)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5
73.5%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
26.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
38.31%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
61.69%
▼
(-0.10)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5
71.37%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
28.63%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
35.57%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
64.43%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
St Mirren
38.57%
Draw
26.49%
Arbroath
34.94%
St Mirren
1-0
@
10.07%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 38.57%
2-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 38.57%
Draw
1-1
@
12.6%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.49%
0-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.49%
Arbroath
0-1
@
9.49%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.94%
1-2 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.94%