Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
37.07% ( 1.73) | 27% ( 0.26) | 35.93% ( -1.99) |
Both teams to score 50.9% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.62% ( -1.02) | 54.38% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.24% ( -0.86) | 75.76% ( 0.86) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.69% ( 0.55) | 28.31% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.96% ( 0.69) | 64.03% ( -0.69) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71% ( -1.67) | 29% ( 1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.1% ( -2.11) | 64.89% ( 2.11) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.96% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 15 |
8 | Raith Rovers | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Greenock MortonMorton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 29 | -23 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |