Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Joe Shaughnessy 36' goal
  • Ryan Strain 45'+4' goal
  • goal Josh Ginnelly 73'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 90'+6'

St Mirren vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
Hibernian 2 - 1 St Mirren
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Mark O'Hara

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 7, 2023 2.15pm
Hearts 0 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

St Mirren 36.45% (+0.01)
Draw 26.47% (-0.01)
Hearts 37.07% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.81% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.19% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.1% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.9% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 12.06%
Under 4.5 87.94% (-0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 72.38% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.62% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.84% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.16% (-0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 72.73% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.26% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.3% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.7% (+0.01)

Score analysis

St Mirren 36.45%
Draw 26.47%
Hearts 37.07%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.1% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.23% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.47%
Hearts
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 37.07%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Curtis Main 52'
  • goal Alex Gogic 57'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Barrie McKay 29' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryan Strain 4' goal
  • goal Robert Snodgrass 49'
Scottish Cup
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Beni Baningime 16' goal
  • Peter Haring 29' goal
  • Beni Baningime 40' yellowcard
  • Aaron McEneff 67' goal
  • Ellis Simms 85' goal
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 36'
  • goal Connor Ronan 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Ronan 22' redcard
  • Alan Power 62' yellowcard
  • Richard Tait 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 27'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 62'
  • goal Ellis Simms 64'
  • goal Cameron Devlin 67'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 86'
  • yellowcard Craig Halkett 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gary Mackay-Steven 61' goal
  • Cameron Devlin 68' yellowcard
  • Stephen Kingsley 75' goal
  • Andy Halliday 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Shaughnessy 16'
  • yellowcard Ryan Flynn 62'
  • redcard Joe Shaughnessy 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jak Alnwick 90'+6'