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Scottish Premiership

St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Hearts logo

St Mirren
2 - 2
Hearts

Shaughnessy (36'), Strain (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ginnelly (73'), Shankland (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 St Mirren
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Hearts 0-2 Celtic
Sunday, May 7 at 2.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
36.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)37.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)63.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)62.7% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 36.45%
    Hearts 37.07%
    Draw 26.47%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 37.07%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Hearts
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
gameweek 31
Hearts
0-2
St Mirren

Snodgrass (7'), Smith (50'), Rowles (86')
Snodgrass (62')
Main (52'), Gogic (57')
Tanser (67'), Dunne (68'), Gogic (84')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Hearts
1-0
St Mirren
McKay (29')
Smith (24'), Snodgrass (58')

Baccus (23'), Main (45'), Gallagher (54'), Reid (80')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
gameweek 21
St Mirren
1-1
Hearts
Strain (4')
Baccus (41'), O'Hara (56')
Fraser (90+5')
Snodgrass (49')
McKay (45+2'), Snodgrass (86')
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
4-2
St Mirren
Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 28
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')