Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.