/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Fparlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Fayrlog.png)
-
Jack McMillan
16'
-
Brian Graham
50'
-
Brian Graham
72'
Partick Thistle vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Ffootball-general-generic.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
Result
Partick Thistle
51.1%
▼
(-0.20)
Draw
24.83%
▲
(+0.01)
Ayr United
24.06%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
51.38%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.17%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
50.83%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
27.28%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
72.71%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
12.83%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
87.16%
▼
(-0.10)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5
80.11%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
19.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
47.99%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
52.01%
▲
(+0.03)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5
64.14%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
35.86%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
27.36%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
72.63%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Partick Thistle
51.09%
Draw
24.83%
Ayr United
24.06%
Partick Thistle
1-0
@
11.51%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 51.09%
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 51.09%
Draw
1-1
@
11.81%
0-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.83%
0-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.83%
Ayr United
0-1
@
7.31%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.06%
Ross Docherty
26'