Partick Thistle
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
TBC
Ayr United

Partick
3 - 0
Ayr

McMillan (16'), Graham (50', 72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Partick Thistle and Ayr United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-4 Partick
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Ayr United

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 1-2 Ayr
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.

Result
Partick ThistleDrawAyr United
51.1% (-0.199 -0.2)24.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.06% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.197 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.15799999999999 0.16)50.83% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.139 0.14)72.71% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)19.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)52.01% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (0.26 0.26)35.86% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (0.265 0.27)72.63% (-0.268 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Partick Thistle 51.09%
    Ayr United 24.06%
    Draw 24.83%
Partick ThistleDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 51.09%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Partick vs Ayr

Partick Thistle
70.7%
Draw
17.1%
Ayr United
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
gameweek 33
Partick
1-1
Ayr
Tiffoney (14')
McMillan (60'), Holt (64')
Akinyemi (72')
Akinyemi (78')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Ayr
0-1
Partick

Dempsey (36')
Mullen (32')
Milne (90+5')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 18
Partick
3-2
Ayr
Milne (21'), Graham (45+1'), Lawless (56')
Akinyemi (9'), Chalmers (47')
Albinson (45+1')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Ayr
4-2
Partick
Chalmers (16'), Brownlie (39' og.), Mullin (55'), McKenzie (90+1')
Young (41')
Hodson (18'), Graham (51')
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Ayr
3-1
Partick
Muirhead (5' pen., 61' pen.), Adeloye (30')
Jakubiak (81')
Docherty (26'), Foster (29')