Scottish Championship | Gameweek 36

May 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
1 - 2
Ayr

Shaw (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mullin (35'), McKenzie (88')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Falkirk 0-3 Inverness
Saturday, April 29 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
42.26% ( 1.21)	25.59% ( 0.29)	32.15% ( -1.5)

Both teams to score 54.73% (

-1.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.86% (

-1.69)

49.14% (

1.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.79% (

-1.54)

71.21% (

1.54)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88% (

-0.14)

23.12% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.02% (

-0.21)

56.97% (

0.21)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19% (

-1.77)

28.81% (

1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33% (

-2.27)

64.66% (

2.27)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 42.26%

Ayr United 32.15%

Draw 25.58%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.26%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.15%