Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.