Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Falkirk
Scottish League One | Gameweek 32
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Stadium
Dunfermline Athletic

Falkirk
2 - 2
Dunfermline

Nesbitt (8'), Burrell (33')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Wighton (35'), McCann (44')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Falkirk and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clyde 0-0 Falkirk
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FalkirkDrawDunfermline Athletic
43.17% (-1.586 -1.59)25.16% (-0.172 -0.17)31.67% (1.761 1.76)
Both teams to score 55.96% (1.45 1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (1.498 1.5)47.46% (-1.496 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33% (1.37 1.37)69.67% (-1.369 -1.37)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)21.96% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.151 -0.15)55.25% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (1.946 1.95)28.3% (-1.944 -1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (2.391 2.39)64.02% (-2.388 -2.39)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 43.17%
    Dunfermline Athletic 31.67%
    Draw 25.16%
FalkirkDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.631 -0.63)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.502 -0.5)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.17%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.225 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.318 0.32)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.224 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.293 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.216 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.199 0.2)
1-4 @ 1% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.67%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Dunfermline
2-0
Falkirk
Breen (67'), Todd (75')
Edwards (52'), Hamilton (67')

Mackie (83')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Oct 9, 2020 7.45pm
Dunfermline
2-0
Falkirk
Murray (58', 65')
Watson (56'), Murray (62')

Keena (31'), Dowds (74')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm