Scottish League One | Gameweek 30

Mar 25, 2023 at 4pm UK

Links Park

Montrose
1 - 3
Dunfermline

Brown (65')

FT(HT: 0-2)

McCann (22'), Wighton (29', 55' pen.)

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Montrose and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-2 Montrose
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 0-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Montrose	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
27.9% ( 0.37)	24.69% ( -0.05)	47.41% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 55.32% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.7% (

0.44)

47.3% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.48% (

0.4)

69.52% (

-0.4)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

0.5)

30.84% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

0.59)

67.12% (

-0.59)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

0.04)

20.01% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.79% (

0.06)

52.21% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Montrose 27.9%

Dunfermline Athletic 47.41%

Draw 24.69%

Montrose	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.9%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 47.41%