Scottish League One Gameweek 30
Mar 25, 2023 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Craig Brown 65' goal
  • goal Lewis McCann 22'
  • goal Craig Wighton 29'
  • goal Craig Wighton 55'

Montrose vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 1 - 2 Montrose
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rory McAllister

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Dunfermline 0 - 0 Edinburgh
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Craig Wighton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result

Montrose 27.9% (+0.37)
Draw 24.69% (-0.05)
Dunfermline Athletic 47.41% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.32% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.7% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 47.3% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 30.48% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 69.52% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 15%
Under 4.5 85%

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5 69.16% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 30.84% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 32.88% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 67.12% (-0.59)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 79.99% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.01% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 47.79% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 52.21% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Montrose 27.9%
Draw 24.69%
Dunfermline Athletic 47.41%
Montrose
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.87% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.27% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.69% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.68% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 27.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.53% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.69%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.28% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.96% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 47.41%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rhys Breen 40' goal
  • Craig Wighton 63' goal
Scottish League One Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matthew Wright 63' goal
  • Matthew Wright 87' goal
Scottish League One Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nikolay Todorov 78' goal
  • Nikolay Todorov 82' yellowcard
  • Lewis McCann 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Whatley 75'
  • yellowcard Matty Allan 87'