Scottish League One | Gameweek 29

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Central Park

Kelty Hearts
1 - 2
Montrose

Barjonas (1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gardyne (81'), Machado (87')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Airdrieonians 6-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Montrose

All competitions

Last Game: Montrose 2-0 Clyde
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Montrose
44.76% ( -0.27)	24.97% ( -0.02)	30.28% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 55.94% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

0.23)

47.19% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

0.22)

69.42% (

-0.21)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88% (

-0.02)

21.12% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.04% (

-0.04)

53.96% (

0.04)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

0.32)

29.09% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

0.39)

65.01% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 44.76%

Montrose 30.28%

Draw 24.96%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Montrose
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.76%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.28%