Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
49.05% ( -0.33) | 24.58% ( 0.06) | 26.37% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.1% ( -0.06) | 47.91% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.92% ( -0.06) | 70.08% ( 0.06) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.43% ( -0.15) | 19.57% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.5% ( -0.26) | 51.5% ( 0.26) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( 0.18) | 32.34% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.16% ( 0.2) | 68.84% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.05% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 26.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |