Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Central Park
Edinburgh City

Kelty Hearts
1 - 2
Edinburgh

Barjonas (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Robertson (29'), Jacobs (68')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Peterhead 1-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Edinburgh City

All competitions
Last Game: Edinburgh 3-0 Clyde
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawEdinburgh City
49.05% (-0.325 -0.33)24.58% (0.064 0.06)26.37% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 54.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)47.91% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)70.08% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.154 -0.15)19.57% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)51.5% (0.262 0.26)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (0.182 0.18)32.34% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16% (0.203 0.2)68.84% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 49.05%
    Edinburgh City 26.37%
    Draw 24.58%
Kelty HeartsDrawEdinburgh City
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.05%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.37%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Edinburgh
2-0
Kelty Hearts
Handling (6'), Crane (70')

Hill (45+1')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Kelty Hearts
0-2
Edinburgh

Barjonas (68'), Forster (75')
Robertson (34'), See (90')
Robertson (40')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Edinburgh
1-1
Kelty Hearts
Shanley (66' pen.)
Stirling (51')
Barjonas (48')
Philp (69')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Kelty Hearts
2-2
Edinburgh
Cardle (27', 55')
(28'), Higginbotham (44'), Austin (46'), (76')
Handling (75'), Brydon (90+3')
Travis (41'), Murray (85')
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Edinburgh
2-3
Kelty Hearts
See (16'), Murray (88')
McKay (25'), Kane (26'), Kidd (74')
Austin (22', 48'), Tidser (37')
Cardle (15'), Tidser (71')
rhs 2.0


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