Scottish League One Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kallum Higginbotham 70' goal
  • Alfie Agyeman 76' goal
  • Kallum Higginbotham 84' goal

Kelty Hearts vs Queen of the South - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 1 - 2 Falkirk
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Alfie Agyeman

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
QotS 1 - 0 Edinburgh
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ruari Paton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result

Kelty Hearts 40.58% (-0.24)
Draw 24.99% (-0.17)
Queen of the South 34.44% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.47% (+0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.12% (+0.85)
Under 2.5 45.88% (-0.85)
Over 3.5 31.81% (+0.80)
Under 3.5 68.2% (-0.80)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 77.48% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 22.53% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 43.9% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 56.1% (-0.38)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5 74.19% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 25.82% (-0.64)
Over 1.5 39.23% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 60.78% (-0.86)

Score analysis

Kelty Hearts 40.58%
Draw 24.98%
Queen of the South 34.44%
Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.35% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.62% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 40.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.92% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.98%
Queen of the South
1-2 @ 7.95% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.41% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.22% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 34.44%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Palmerston Park
Scottish League One Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ruari Paton 7' goal
  • goal Nathan Austin 80'
  • goal Kallum Higginbotham 84'
Scottish League One Gameweek 7
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Tidser 34' goal