Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | Queen of the South |
33.93% ( -0.14) | 24.86% ( 0.02) | 41.21% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.59% ( -0.13) | 45.41% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.25% ( -0.13) | 67.74% ( 0.13) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% ( -0.15) | 25.89% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.13% ( -0.2) | 60.87% ( 0.2) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% | 22.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.67% ( -0) | 55.33% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Arbroath | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Montrose | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 15 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |