Scottish League One Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Gabriel McGill 19' goal
  • Ross Philp 30' goal
  • Gabriel McGill 37' goal
  • Gabriel McGill 56' goal
  • Calum Gallagher 59' goal
  • Callum Smith 79' goal
  • goal Jamie Barjonas 85'

Airdrieonians vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
QotS 3 - 2 Airdrieonians
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Calum Gallagher

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 1 - 2 Edinburgh
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Alfie Agyeman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result

Airdrieonians 50.27% (+0.76)
Draw 22.99% (-0.20)
Kelty Hearts 26.73% (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.11% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.47% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 40.52% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 37.09% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 62.9% (-0.48)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5 83.7% (+0.45)
Under 0.5 16.29% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 54.14% (+0.81)
Under 1.5 45.85% (-0.81)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 71.82% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 28.18% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 36.13% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 63.86% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 50.27%
Draw 22.99%
Kelty Hearts 26.73%
Airdrieonians
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.56% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.79% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 4.57% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.67% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.63% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.07% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.66% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 50.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.99%
Kelty Hearts
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 26.73%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jamie Barjonas 66' goal
  • goal Adam Frizzell 21'
Scottish League One Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Calum Gallagher 70' goal
Scottish League One Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alfie Agyeman 85' goal