Scottish League One | Gameweek 28

Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

New Broomfield

Airdrieonians
6 - 1
Kelty Hearts

McGill (19', 37', 56'), Philp (30' og.), Gallagher (59'), Smith (79')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Barjonas (85' pen.)

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Airdrieonians and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Last Game: QotS 3-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-2 Edinburgh
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Kelty Hearts
50.27% ( 0.75)	22.99% ( -0.2)	26.73% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 60.11% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.47% (

0.46)

40.52% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.09% (

0.48)

62.9% (

-0.48)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7% (

0.44)

16.29% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.14% (

0.8)

45.85% (

-0.8)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82% (

-0.16)

28.18% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13% (

-0.21)

63.86% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 50.27%

Kelty Hearts 26.73%

Draw 22.99%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.27%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.62% Total : 26.73%