Scottish League One | Gameweek 24

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

East End Park

Dunfermline
2 - 0
Montrose

Breen (40'), Wighton (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Clyde 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Montrose

All competitions

Last Game: Montrose 3-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Montrose
62.8% ( 0.28)	21.1% ( -0.15)	16.1% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 50.43% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.28% (

0.41)

45.71% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.96% (

0.39)

68.03% (

-0.39)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.05% (

0.22)

13.94% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.58% (

0.43)

41.41% (

-0.43)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.59% (

0.08)

41.4% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.09% (

0.07)

77.91% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 62.79%

Montrose 16.1%

Draw 21.09%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Montrose
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.79%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.09%	0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.1%